What is Mental Edge versus Mental Risk?

Mental Edge is what your good days have in common. Mental Risk is what your bad ones do — tilt, fatigue, revenge and overtrading.

They are the same data read in opposite directions, and they answer different questions.

Mental Edge looks for the state that precedes your good trading. It ranks which of your mental scores actually predicts a good day, tracks that score over time, and describes your optimal state — the combination of readiness, conviction and focus that your own results say works. It is the constructive half: what to reproduce.

Mental Risk looks for the states that precede damage. Tilt risk, fatigue by day of week, mental streaks, revenge trading, session fade, how well-calibrated your confidence is, and a readiness calendar. It is the defensive half: what to catch early.

The pairing matters more than either alone. Knowing you trade well rested is only half of it; knowing that your third losing trade in a row is where your size starts creeping is the half that saves money.