What is on the Payoff & Alt Exit sub-page?
Your payoff ratio as a rolling trend, and a model of what fixed-R exits would have produced instead.
Two panels that belong together. The first says whether your reward-to-risk is holding up over time; the second asks whether a mechanical rule would have beaten your judgement.
Indicators on this sub-page:
- Payoff Ratio Trend — Rolling 20 TradesAverage winner divided by average loser over a moving window, with a dashed 1:1 reference line, your current ratio, and whether it is improving or deteriorating. A falling line with a stable win rate means your winners are shrinking, which usually means you are taking profit earlier under pressure. Sitting below the 1:1 line means your average loss is bigger than your average win — survivable only on a high win rate.
- Alternative Exit Modeling — What If Fixed-R Exits?Your record replayed with every trade exited at a fixed multiple of risk, for several multiples. If a plain rule beats your discretion, that is worth knowing before you defend the discretion. It needs a stop price on your trades and MAE/MFE data, and it says exactly that when it does not have both.
The second panel is a simulation over trades you already took. It cannot know that a mechanical target would have changed how the rest of your day went.
